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Posts for October 8, 2026

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Tsikhanouskaya Nobel Prize Market on Polymarket: Yes Odds Hit 17.05%

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Catcher Predict reported that Polymarket's submarket for Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya in the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize event saw a sharp move, with Yes odds increasing from 0.9% to 17.05% within about an hour.

ChainCatcher notes that the change represents a 16.15 percentage-point swing and suggests breaking news may have influenced the move.

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Nvidia Eyes Investment in AI Server Chipmaker d-Matrix

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Sina Finance reported, citing three people familiar with the matter, that Nvidia is considering an investment in AI server chip developer d-Matrix.

The report notes the proposed investment is part of Nvidia's strategy to enhance interoperability with rival designs and bring those chip makers into its hardware ecosystem.

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Patagonia CEO Ryan Gellert Discusses Growth, Profitability and Activism

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Patagonia chief executive Ryan Gellert outlines the company’s approach to environmental activism along with his views on growth and profitability and his assessment of where industry leaders stand.

The remarks were delivered during a Bloomberg interview with Romaine Bostick on The Close.

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Arc'teryx CEO Aims to Almost Double Revenue in Five Years

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Arc'teryx chief executive Stuart Haselden outlined a plan to almost double the company's revenue within five years, a strategy Bloomberg reports.

He said the approach rests on two pillars: advancing technical innovation and expanding performance-focused products, while exiting lifestyle offerings the company believes dilute its brand authority.

Haselden discussed the plan with Romaine Bostick on Bloomberg's The Close.

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NFL Asks Supreme Court to Review New Jersey Case Over Kalshi Prediction Markets

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The National Football League has asked the U.S. Supreme Court to take up New Jersey's case against Kalshi, challenging how sports-betting activities conducted through prediction markets should be regulated.

The league argued that certain sporting-event contracts could threaten game integrity because a single participant could influence outcomes.

It cited data showing about $1.8 billion of the $3.3 billion in prediction-market trading volume was tied to NFL activity on the season's opening Sunday.

As of Thursday, the Supreme Court had not announced a decision on whether to review the case, and Kalshi spokesperson Dani Lever has argued the company should not be regulated by 50 different regulators.

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NFL urges Supreme Court review of New Jersey Kalshi appeal, arguing state gambling rules apply

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The NFL has asked the Supreme Court to review a ruling that Kalshi's sports-event contracts fall under exclusive federal oversight.

In its amicus brief filed on Thursday, the league contends that these contracts should be regulated under state gambling laws rather than federal law.

The NFL noted that contracts tied to NFL-related events accounted for $1.8 billion of the $3.3 billion traded across prediction markets on the season's opening Sunday.

The league seeks a ruling before the 2027 season and says that upholding federal jurisdiction would spur renewed efforts to strengthen integrity protections and consumer safeguards ahead of that season.

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Securitize Debuts Tokenized Shares of 12 U.S. Companies on Solana

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Securitize today rolled out tokenized shares representing 12 U.S. companies on the Solana blockchain for eligible investors.

NS3.AI says the tokens preserve standard shareholder benefits, including dividends and voting rights.

The tokens are backed one-for-one by the underlying shares and will initially trade during extended market hours on Securitize's registered broker-dealer platform, with plans to offer 24/7 trading at a future, unspecified date.

Securitize's shares rose about 10% on Thursday following the rollout.

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JPMorgan's Berro Sees Value in Rising Yields

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Brij Khurana of Wellington and Kelsey Berro of JPMorgan Asset Management appeared on Bloomberg Real Yield, per Bloomberg.

A rally in oil prices unsettled global markets, sending stocks lower and rattling bond markets as investors worried that higher energy costs could fuel inflation and prompt the Federal Reserve to raise rates.

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AI Spending Concerns Persist as Washington Targets Tech Visas

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The Trump administration halted an immigration program used by several technology firms, including Microsoft, alleging widespread abuse of the worker visa system, according to Bloomberg.

Bloomberg noted that Samsung's quarterly profit rose and TSMC's sales increased, though investors remained cautious about the durability of the AI investment surge.

NASA's SpaceX Crew-12 mission returned to Earth after a 237-day stay in space.

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Astroport Closes Token-Holder Governance on Neutron and Terra

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Astroport has ended token-holder governance on the Neutron and Terra networks, per ChainCatcher.

The governance will now be managed by contributors through the DAO DAO framework.

vxASTRO holders can still unlock their tokens through the normal process, while emissions of ASTRO are being stopped entirely.

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Decrypt Debuts Self-Custodial Money Accounts on Solana With Unified Balance Across Services

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Decrypt has rolled out its self-custodial Money Accounts on Solana, enabling a single balance to support its product suite and The Information Exchange, the financial and intelligence market it is building.

ChainCatcher reports that Decrypt co-founder Ilan Hazan described the aim as having one account and one balance so users can access tools directly where they get information, including prediction markets, perpetual contracts, and swaps.

Deposits and balances are denominated in USDT on Solana, and the same balance can be used for Earn, Swaps, Predictions, and Perps. Gas and rent are sponsored through a co-signer, so users do not need to hold SOL or manage network fees.

Decrypt notes the Money Account is self-custodial, meaning it does not hold private keys or perform actions on behalf of users, and a private-key export feature is planned for the near future.

Behind the scenes, cross-chain operations occur, including Myriad Predictions settlements on BNB Chain while users continue trading with the same Solana USDT balance without using a bridge.

Existing Myriad Wallet users can access Decrypt Money Accounts directly, with one account and one balance covering both Decrypt and Myriad without migration.

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RBC, Mill Pond Oppose Blackstone’s H&R REIT Breakup and Sale

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RBC Global Asset Management plans to vote against the breakup and sale of Canada's H&R Real Estate Investment Trust, according to Bloomberg.

The move places RBC alongside Mill Pond in opposition to the transaction, which would transfer a portfolio of Canadian industrial properties to Blackstone Inc.

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Small Caps Slip as Yields Rise while Nasdaq Tech Gains on AI Demand

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The Russell 2000 slid more than 5% in the past month as the yields on the 10-year and 30-year Treasuries climbed to levels not seen since the early 2000s, while the Nasdaq-100 advanced over 5% in the same period.

BTIG analyst Jonathan Krinsky noted the Russell-2000 is roughly 16% weaker than the Nasdaq-100 on a relative basis, with the ratio’s RSI at 12.77 — a reading that has fallen below 14 only four times since 1985, with the prior instances in July 2007, August 2011 and March 2020.

Krinsky added that although such oversold conditions do not guarantee a bottom, a buying opportunity could emerge if yields begin to move lower, as signs of yield exhaustion appear. He also said a meaningful further decline in yields could support the Russell 2000.

Barclays highlighted Ultra Clean Holdings, Penguin Solutions and PTC Therapeutics as small-cap names that could outperform if a rebound takes hold.

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PREMARKET MOVES: Wolfspeed Rises on $1.5B Defense Loan; Broadcom Slips on AI-Chip Financing; TSMC Revenue Surges

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Several stocks were active in premarket trading, with Haemonetics rising about 8% after CSL forecast the completion of Haemonetics' plasmapheresis platform rollout across the United States by the end of 2027.

Wolfspeed jumped more than 15% following news of a conditional $1.5 billion loan, part of a 30-year financing commitment from the Defense Department to support domestic production. The terms include warrants allowing the Pentagon to acquire up to 7.5% of Wolfspeed under the proposed arrangement.

Broadcom traded roughly 2% lower after The Wall Street Journal reported the company is pursuing more than $50 billion in financing tied to its custom AI chips being developed with OpenAI.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing reported September revenue growth of 54.6% year over year, lifting third-quarter revenue to $16.03 billion and above expectations, though shares were down about 1% in early trading.

Lululemon fell around 1% after naming Maggie Gauger, a former Nike executive and Athleta CEO, as chief product officer and Joseph Godsey as chief operating officer, as CEO Heidi O'Neill aims to revive growth and reset the North American business.

Levi Strauss dropped nearly 3% after posting third-quarter revenue of $1.61 billion, slightly missing expectations as direct-to-consumer sales weakened in the U.S. and Europe, though adjusted earnings beat estimates and tariff refunds boosted profitability.

Applied Digital rose 1% after reporting fiscal first-quarter revenue of nearly $342 million, up 322% year over year, driven by a sharp ramp in its AI data-center business.

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Bitwise CEO Ties AI to Crypto Roots, Expands AI Push; Two AI ETFs Pending, NEAR Spot ETF Debut

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Bitwise's chief executive, Hunter Horsley, said artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency originate from similar roots and signaled a broader push into AI initiatives.

Odaily reports that Bitwise has two AI-focused ETF filings awaiting approval: the Bitwise AI Cyber Defense ETF and the Bitwise AI Bond ETF.

Additionally, the company launched the first U.S. spot NEAR ETF last week.

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Killa Signals Potential 10x BTC Long Rebuild If Bitcoin Dips to $80,000–$82,000

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Crypto trader Killa said on X that Bitcoin failed again to move above $87,000, and a 10x long bet placed on a breakout was exited at breakeven after a second test of the highs.

Odaily reported that Killa is monitoring a price zone around $80,000 to $82,000 and may rebuild the 10x long there.

Killa said he still holds BTC long positions opened at $62,600 and $76,400. He added there is no urgent reason to open a new long, but remains bullish and expects higher prices, noting that the current market is a low-timeframe range while his focus is on higher timeframes. He also stressed the importance of risk management.

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PBOC to Expand FX Data Reporting to IMF From 2027

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The People's Bank of China outlined its stance on the yuan's exchange rate and said it will progressively expand its reporting of foreign exchange data to the IMF starting in 2027.

It noted that China has followed the IMF's Special Data Dissemination Standard since 2016 to publish balance of payments data and related foreign exchange information to higher international standards, and it aims to broaden the scope and frequency of data releases.

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Central Bank Urges Long-Term Policy Commitments to Stabilize Expectations and Avoid U-Turns

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The report, attributed to Jin10, notes that medium- and long-term policy commitments are more effective at stabilizing expectations than short-term fixes.

It urges countries to adopt clear medium- and long-term policy plans, commit to them publicly, and implement them with consistency while avoiding policy U-turns.

The bank cautions that resolving global structural economic challenges within one to two years is unrealistic, and abrupt shifts in policy can backfire.

As an illustration, it points to a global tariff dispute in 2025, which led to front-loading of imports, widened imbalances, and slower global economic growth.

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PBOC: China Won't Use Yuan Depreciation to Seek Trade Advantage

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The People's Bank of China said it has neither the need nor the intention to seek a trade edge through yuan depreciation. It noted a structural shift in China's trade in recent years, with sensitivity to exchange-rate movements dropping significantly.

The central bank emphasized that China has never engaged in competitive currency devaluation or relied on yuan depreciation to boost exports amid various external shocks. It recalled pledges not to let the yuan depreciate during the Asian financial crisis in the 1990s and said its actions helped maintain regional economic and financial stability. The yuan stayed broadly stable during the 2008 global financial crisis, when many currencies fell against the U.S. dollar.

In recent years, as some countries pursued trade tensions and the Federal Reserve raised rates, non-U.S. currencies faced greater depreciation pressure. The PBOC said it timely deployed macroprudential policy tools to prevent the yuan from overshooting on the downside.

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Gold Edges Up as Fed-Hike Bets Highlight Macro vs. Technical Traders

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Gold rose modestly on Thursday as market participants weigh the possibility of another Fed rate increase this year.

Saxo Bank analysts said the move underscores a tug-of-war between macro traders and technical traders, with selling pressure tied to higher funding costs and a stronger dollar, while investors seek to hedge against rising debt levels and borrowing costs.

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Parcl V4 Mainnet Enters Closed Alpha Testing

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Parcl, a real estate platform that delivers live housing data on-chain, announced that its V4 mainnet has entered a closed alpha phase.

According to Foresight News, early access is available through official invitations, with developers testing the network granted first access rights.

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ING Sees Pound Extending Gains Against the Euro on BoE Rate-Hike Bets

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A Jin10 report cites ING analyst Chris Turner, who says the pound could extend its gains against the euro if markets price in a Bank of England rate increase at its next meeting.

Turner noted that the recent euro-pound move has largely reflected worries about France's debt problems, but a potential BoE rate hike in November could provide support for the pound.

Bank of England Governor Bailey and Deputy Governor Lombardelli are due to speak later on Thursday.

Turner added that if they give any hint they are prepared to cross the "red line" and vote for a rate hike, the euro-pound rate could fall further today.

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Pakistan says Middle East oil crisis accelerates EV adoption

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Haroon Akhtar, the prime minister's adviser on industry and production affairs, told Jin10 that surging oil prices and a diminished appeal for gasoline-powered cars are compressing the payback period for higher EV purchase costs to roughly one to one and a half years. He said this dynamic could help Pakistan reach its electric vehicle adoption target earlier than planned.

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Trader Takes 20x Short Across BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP and DOGE on Aster

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A trader on Aster is shorting BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, and DOGE with 20x leverage, and all positions are currently in profit.

The total short exposure stands at $26.5 million, with unrealized gains of $586,000.

Ethereum: 3,629 ETH, value $9.33 million, unrealized gains $163,000.

Solana: 73,728 SOL, value $8.52 million, unrealized gains $141,000.

Dogecoin: 48.37 million DOGE, value $4.24 million, unrealized gains $224,000.

XRP: 1.68 million XRP, value $2.37 million, unrealized gains $53,000.

Bitcoin: 24 BTC, value $1.99 million, unrealized gains $5,600.

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Cointelegraph Denies Sale Talks, Demands Public Correction From CoinDesk

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Cointelegraph says it is not pursuing a sale and asserts that CoinDesk's article is based on incorrect information and contains several factual errors. The company has asked CoinDesk to issue a public correction and to publish it with the same prominence as the original report rather than a quiet rewrite.

Foresight News had previously reported that CoinDesk, citing people familiar with the matter, suggested Cointelegraph might be seeking a buyer after a sharp drop in website traffic, with no sale price disclosed.

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Project Eleven Partners With Quantus to Integrate Blockchain Into Strongpoint Custody

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Project Eleven has formed a partnership with Quantus to bring Quantus' blockchain capabilities into Strongpoint, its institutional custody platform. The collaboration will cover integration work, key management processes, and transaction support to enable institutions to manage Quantus assets using Strongpoint's existing hardware, policies, approval workflows, and audit controls.

Foresight News reports that the combined effort aims to provide support in the first quarter of 2027. In January, Project Eleven closed a $20 million financing round led by Castle Island Ventures.

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Bitcoin Whale Opens 40x Short on 400 BTC

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A monitored address initiated a 40x leveraged short position on 400 Bitcoin in the early session, with the position valued at $33.13 million and an entry price of $83,171.70 per BTC.

According to Foresight News, the trade shows an unrealized profit of roughly $134,000 at present.

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Tokyo Financial Exchange to Introduce BoJ Overnight Call Rate Futures

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Jin10 reports that the Tokyo Financial Exchange plans to roll out a new futures contract this month tied to the Bank of Japan's overnight unsecured call rate, a product intended to let traders position on rate moves between policy meetings and hedge against rising volatility in rates.

Officials say the exchange's existing three-month TONA futures have not fully met demand, with traders seeking tools that reflect shifting rate expectations tied to each BoJ decision.

A wholesale business department director at the exchange noted that rate volatility has become more active and demand for derivatives is increasing.

Even as the market anticipates ongoing rate hikes from the BoJ, activity in the three-month TONA futures has weakened in recent months, with September volume down nearly 50% from a year earlier.

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Tanker struck by projectile near Qatar in rare Gulf attack

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A tanker was struck by a projectile in waters north of Madinat ash Shamal, Qatar, according to the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations. Sina Finance reported the hit occurred in that area, and authorities have not disclosed the ship's identity or who was responsible. The attack was the first tanker incident in the deep Persian Gulf in about a month.

On September 9, UKMTO said a vessel was struck by an unidentified projectile roughly 28 nautical miles southeast of Al-Faw, Iraq. Since then, most attacks have concentrated on the Strait of Hormuz and nearby corridors.

The flare-up comes as tensions between Washington and Tehran rise. U.S. officials said the White House has asked the Pentagon to outline strike options against Iran for possible use before the U.S. midterm elections, though details on scale, targets, and whether any action will proceed remain under discussion.

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Polymarket Rays Option Climbs to 55.5% on 23-Point Swing

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Catcher Predict tracked a sharp move in Polymarket’s Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees market, with the Rays option rising from 32.5% to 55.5% in roughly one hour—a 23-point swing.

ChainCatcher attributes the sudden shift to potential breaking news affecting the market.

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