Stocks Reach Record High as AI Leaders Mask Wider Market Weakness
A Jin10 briefing notes that U.S. President Donald Trump has long tied the stock market's performance to his political standing. The S&P 500 rose to a fresh high this week, driven mainly by a small group of AI beneficiaries, while broader signals of weakness in the economy and financial markets persisted.
With the midterm elections less than a month away, market gains that Trump has associated with Republican support could instead pose political risk.
Shares in the consumer, travel, transportation, real estate and financial sectors have posted declines, and the median S&P 500 stock is down about 4.3% over the past month.
Notable strength in Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia and the broader semiconductor sector has masked weaknesses across much of the market.
On Tuesday the S&P 500 reached a record high even as only 30% of its components traded above their 50-day moving averages, a breadth narrowness that compares unfavorably with even the weakest record highs during the 1998-2000 internet bubble, when 41% of members were in uptrends.


