Oil exports routed via the Strait of Hormuz have shown a rebound, but the improvement remains fragile amid ongoing attacks on vessels by Iran.
According to Sina Finance, the UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) said nearly 20 merchant ships, most of them tankers, were attacked over the past month while transiting the Strait of Hormuz, the Persian Gulf, and waters off Oman.
Windward senior maritime intelligence analyst Michelle Wiese Bockmann estimated that about 2% of ships crossing the strait were attacked in the third quarter.
Kpler put average crude shipments through the strait at roughly 10.3 million barrels per day in the week ended last Saturday, about 23% below the prewar baseline of 13.5 million bpd.
Windward estimated average crude shipments at 9–10 million barrels per day, versus a prewar baseline of 14.5 million bpd.
The article notes that the current flow of oil now heavily depends on a large U.S. military deployment to protect tankers along a route south of the Omani coast.
It also said ship-to-ship transfers in the Gulf of Oman reduce the risk of Iranian attacks but require more vessels, and tanker shipping costs to China have risen to about $1 million per ship per day.